The transgender and “gender identity” wave among young Americans is collapsing, with identification plummeting since its peak in 2023.
According to a new report from the Center for Heterodox Social Science, the number of students claiming to be transgender has now halved.
Experts believe that radical gender ideology has now simply gone out of fashion among young people.
Professor Eric Kaufmann, the report’s author and a University of Buckingham politics scholar, analyzed major surveys, including the Foundation for Individual Rights and Expression’s (FIRE) massive 2025 poll of 68,510 students.
1/ NEW: trans identification is in free fall among the young
(h/t @FIRE data in particular) pic.twitter.com/i0Z1BNcWG8— Eric Kaufmann (@epkaufm) October 14, 2025
The findings reveal a stunning decline: only 3.6 percent of students identified as non-binary in 2025, down from 6.8 percent in 2023 and 5.2 percent in 2024.
The data show a near-halving of the trend in just two years.
“The transgender share among university students peaked in 2023 and has almost halved since, from nearly 7 percent to under 4 percent,” Kaufmann wrote.
Sharp Declines at Elite Institutions
The collapse is especially pronounced in elite academic settings.
At Phillips Academy Andover, the share of students identifying as “non-binary” fell from 9.2 percent in 2023 to just 3 percent in 2025.
Brown University’s numbers dropped from 5 percent in 2022-23 to only 2.6 percent in 2025.
“The scale of the decline in the student data is considerable, even accounting for variability in the data,” Kaufmann noted.
The trend extends beyond gender identity.
Non-heterosexual identification has fallen by nearly 10 points since 2023, driven by declines in “queer,” “pansexual,” “asexual,” and “bisexual” categories.
FIRE’s survey found heterosexual identification rebounding from 68 percent in 2023 to 77 percent in 2025.
“The share of students identifying as not heterosexual fell by around 10 points in the same period,” Kaufmann stated.
Even generational patterns have reversed.
In 2025, freshmen were less likely than seniors to identify as “bisexual,” “trans,” “queer,” or “questioning,” the opposite of earlier years.
“Today’s freshmen are less BTQ+ than seniors, suggesting that decline will continue,” Kaufmann wrote.
Fading Trend, Failing Narrative
Kaufmann examined potential causes but dismissed political, religious, and social media shifts as explanations.
“The decline in BTQ+ identification does not appear to be connected to lower social media use, religious revival, a shift to the political right, or lower support for woke ideology,” he said.
While improved youth mental health may play a role, Kaufmann said it does not fully account for the collapse.
“There is evidence that improved mental health has reduced BTQ+ identification,” he noted.
Kaufmann cited CDC data showing reported sadness among LGBT high schoolers dropped from 76 to 65 percent between 2021 and 2023.
But, he added, “Improved youth mental health cannot adequately explain declining trans, queer and bisexual share.”
His analysis confirmed that the changes were driven by year-to-year effects independent of other factors.
“Year of survey predicts a rise or fall in BTQ+ identity even after controlling for other important factors,” Kaufmann wrote.
The professor summed it up bluntly:
“Trans, queer and bisexual identities are in rapid decline among young educated Americans.”
The Tide Is Turning
The numbers confirm what many have long warned as the “transgender-queer” wave pushed by Hollywood elites, music industry propagandists, United Nations globalists, Democrat operatives, and corporate overlords is losing its grip.
Despite years of relentless propaganda to mutilate bodies, sterilize youth, and dismantle reality itself, human nature is pushing back.
Biology, facts, and resilience remain stronger than manufactured identity fads.
The tide is turning, and the radical gender experiment is collapsing under its own weight.
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