An election expert has revealed that data from early mail-in voting is signaling “great news” for President Donald Trump and other Republican candidates ahead of November.
Vote-by-mail data in three key states shows the edge Democrats enjoyed in 2020 has plummeted.
One expert said the bad news for Democrats is a great sign for Republicans and Trump.
Jimmy Keady, the founder and president of JLK Political Strategies, a Republican consulting firm, told Fox News.
“It’s great news that Republicans are starting to early vote,” Keady said.
The comments come as data by Decision Desk HQ shows the Democrat edge in vote-by-mail requests has shrunk significantly in Florida, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania.
The data signals a shift in voter habits that have defined the last two elections.
According to the data, the Democrat leads in vote-by-mail requests have shrunk by over 5% in Florida, nearly 15% in North Carolina, and over 35% in Pennsylvania.
Getting voters out to early in-person voting or to vote by mail can free up resources for campaigns, Keady said.
It allows them to focus their attention on lower propensity voters who often play a big role in deciding elections.
“I’m sure voters complain all the time about text messages, about getting mail, about getting robocalls to go vote,” Keady said.
“Campaigns are now sophisticated enough that once you go vote, those stop… once a voter goes to vote, and those stop, that allows resource allocation from that voter to another voter.”
Getting those lower propensity voters out could play a huge role in states like Pennsylvania and North Carolina, which are both expected to once again be swing states with razor-tight margins.
According to the Real Clear Politics polling average, Democrat presidential nominee Kamala Harris holds a lead of less than a point in Pennsylvania.
Meanwhile, Trump holds a similarly sized lead in North Carolina.
It means the ground game to turn out voters on each side could be the deciding factor in the election.
The Democrat advantage in mail-in and early voting very well might have been the difference in the 2020 election.
However, Keady sees shifting momentum for the GOP on that front in 2024.
“It definitely signals that A, there’s turnout… but B, also that the base has adopted, kind of being able to accept that early voting is a proper and mostly secure way to vote,” Keady said.
That will help Republicans compete with Democrats in an area the party was at a decided disadvantage in 2020, Keady noted.
It is something that could swing another close election in the GOP’s favor.
“As Republicans, we have to start getting the base to early vote, to do mail-in ballot, to do these things that we know are safe and secure, to get people out to the polls,” he said.
“The Democrats have done this really well, for years.”
WATCH:
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