President Donald Trump has now become the frontrunner in Arizona for the 2024 presidential race following his recent conviction in New York, new polling shows.
The latest polls show Trump leading Democrat President Joe Biden in the swing state.
The news, which was a surprise to few, stemmed from an independent poll by Rasmussen Reports.
The results of the survey, not counted by Democrat poll workers, show that Trump has a hold on the hearts and votes of Arizonians, according to Breitbart News.
The poll asked respondents:
“If the 2024 Presidential election were held today, and the candidates were President Joe Biden and Former President Donald Trump, who would you vote for?”
In a head-to-head comparison, 47% of prospective voters indicated that they would endorse Trump.
40% expressed the same sentiment regarding Biden.
This represents a seven-point disparity.
An additional 9% are still undecided.
However, it is important to note that independents are evenly divided between Trump and Biden in a head-to-head matchup.
Each candidate receives 39% of the vote and an additional 17% remains uncommitted.
Trump maintains his lead with 41% support, surpassing Biden’s 37% support.
This result comes despite the inclusion of third-party candidates such as independent candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West, and Green Party Candidate Jill Stein.
This represents a four-point disparity.
Kennedy receives an additional 10% of the vote, with 2 % going to West and 1% to Stein.
The survey was conducted from June 11-13, 2024, among 750 prospective Arizona voters.
It was conducted long after the Manhattan jury found Trump guilty of all 34 counts in his controversial “hush money” trial.
It has a margin of error of +/- 3 %.
Several other state-level surveys that examine the race in battleground states, including typically blue areas like Minnesota, show that Trump is edging out Biden after the ruling from the jury.
The results of these polls suggest what many on the Republican side of the aisle have been saying for quite some time: the establishment media’s strategy of using lawfare to discredit the 45th president is ineffective.
For instance, a survey by Mitchell Research and MIRS News looking into the race in Michigan on June 3, a few days after the jury’s verdict, revealed that Trump had a 0.6% advantage over Biden in a head-to-head comparison.
After taking into account the influence of third parties, Trump’s lead increased to 1.2%.
Biden won the state in 2020 by a margin of less than three percent, so this is a huge development.
In yet another example, a recent Marist Poll conducted after the jury’s verdict revealed that Trump was leading Biden in Pennsylvania by two points, with 47% of the vote compared to 45% for Biden.
This is particularly chilling for the Biden campaign when taking into account the historical information that in 2020, Biden only earned a 1.2% victory in the Keystone State.
READ MORE – Majority of Biden Voters Are Only Casting a Ballot ‘Against Trump’ in 2024
