President Donald Trump is now leading Democrat presidential nominee Kamala Harris across key battleground states, new polling shows.
On Thursday, Rasmussen Reports and American Thinks unveiled the results of the most recent survey.
The poll shows Trump ahead of Harris by 49%-47% among likely voters in Wisconsin.
After the poll was published, RealClearPolitics (RCP) updated its polling tracker for the state to give Trump an overall 0.1 percentage point advantage.
Harris has had a better average than Trump in Wisconsin since the beginning of August.
As recently as Wednesday, Harris was ahead in the state with a 0.2 percentage point lead.
It comes as Harris traveled to Wisconsin on Thursday for a number of campaign events.
With less than three weeks to go before Election Day, the spread in every one of the “Top Battlegrounds” tracked by RCP favored Trump.
As of Thursday, Trump’s advantage was:
- 1.1 percentage points in Arizona
- 0.5 points in Nevada
- 0.1 points in Wisconsin
- 0.9 points in Michigan
- 0.5 points in Pennsylvania
- 1 point in North Carolina
- 0.9 points in Georgia
🚨 BREAKING: Trump flips Wisconsin in New RealClearPolitics No Toss Ups Map and now leads Kamala Harris in all battleground states. pic.twitter.com/HvCRcGGvkd
— Benny Johnson (@bennyjohnson) October 17, 2024
This news comes just one day after Polymarket revealed that Trump had pulled ahead of Harris across six battleground states.
Betting market odds show Trump is now ahead in:
- Arizona
- Georgia
- Pennsylvania
- Wisconsin
- Nevada
- Michigan
Harris was previously performing better than Trump in some of those states.
Until just a few days ago, Harris was ahead in Wisconsin and Nevada.
Other betting markets have also favored Trump.
Last week, The Wall Street Journal reported that a poll it conducted found swing state voters viewed Trump as being more capable than Harris to handle the economy and border security.
The economy and the border are two issues they rated as their top areas of concern in the election.
Harris got better marks when it came to issues such as health care and housing affordability.
Overall, the newspaper said, the candidates were “virtually tied” across the battleground states the poll examined.
RCP’s average for national polls showed Harris ahead 49.2%-47.7% as of Thursday.
However, the site’s Electoral College page shows Trump being favored to win 219 electoral votes with Harris predicted to get 215.
The page notes that 104 electoral votes are labeled as “Toss-ups.”
And with RCP’s “No Toss-up” option, Trump leads Harris 312-226 after Wisconsin, Nevada, Michigan, and Pennsylvania started to lean toward the GOP over the past few weeks.
Meanwhile, the U.S. Senate also looks to be leaning toward a narrow Republican majority, according to RCP.
RCP’s “Battle for the House 2024” page shows Republicans favored to get 207 seats, Democrats to get 196 states, and 32 seats that remain “Toss Ups.”
Its “2024 Governor Races” page shows 23 Democrats and 26 Republicans.
New Hampshire is the only state in the “Toss Ups” category for gubernatorial races.