A new poll from the Wall Street Journal shows that President Donald Trump has now taken the lead nationally over Democrat presidential candidate Kamala Harris.
According to the poll published Thursday, Trump has now taken a narrow lead over Harris with less than two weeks until Election Day.
Trump has pulled out in front with a 47-45 lead.
The poll results are a change from the WSJ’s polling in August.
The August poll had Harris ahead by two percentage points.
The two percentage points are within the poll’s margin of error.
Harris’s favorability and job performance numbers have dropped since August.
Meanwhile, Trump’s job performance numbers have risen.
In August, half of voters viewed Harris favorably.
Now, as of late October, 45 percent view her favorably compared to 53 who view her unfavorably, according to the poll.
Harris is also seeing her worst job performance ratings as vice president since WSJ started asking voters about her performance.
Fifty-four percent of voters disapprove of her performance compared to 42 percent who approve.
Exclusive: Trump has taken a narrow lead against Harris in the final weeks of the presidential race https://t.co/fUBlHlSvDb
— The Wall Street Journal (@WSJ) October 24, 2024
The outlet reported that ad blitzes and “the performance of the candidates” have contributed to the shift.
Republican pollster David Lee, who ran the poll with Democrat Michael Bocian, told the WSJ:
“Voters are finally getting to know her.
“The definitional period is coming to an end, and more people are unhappy with what they have learned about her than what they know about President Trump,” Lee said.
Issues that voters appear to trust Trump over Harris on include the economy and immigration.
According to the poll, voters approve of Trump over Harris on the economy by 12 points compared to 8 in August.
On immigration, they trust Trump by 15 points, a leap from the 7-point lead he had over Harris in August.
The WSJ’s poll results match other recent polls.
Meanwhile, the RealClearPolitics’ (RCP) national polling average still has Harris ahead by a hair – 0.2 percent.
The four most recent polls all have Trump ahead by at least a two percent margin.
CNBC and Forbes/HarrisX, which polled likely voters as opposed to the registered voters that CNBC and WSJ polled, have Trump ahead by two percent nationally.
Rasmussen’s Wednesday poll has Trump up by three percent.
While RCP’s average has Trump ahead in every key battleground, he’s slightly behind nationally.
Overall in the swing states he’s up 0.9 percent.
In Georgia, Trump is ahead by 2.2 points.
In Wisconsin and Michigan, Trump’s edging Harris by 0.2 percent.
Trump is also dominating the betting markets, often viewed as a clearer indicator of voter sentiment.
According to the RCP betting average, Trump has a 59 percent chance of winning versus Harris’s 40.1 percent chance.
Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction market, has Trump’s odds at 61.1 percent.
The shift is a far cry from early August.
At the time, Harris jumped out to a significant lead over Trump by most indicators.
Harris’s current 0.2 percent lead in the RCP average is her lowest leading margin since she jumped ahead of Trump on Aug. 5.
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