‘World’s Most Accurate Economist’ Makes Election Day Prediction

A world-renowned economist and strategist, famed as the “world’s most accurate” in his profession, has made a bold prediction for the critical 2024 election.

Just one week out from Election Day, Christophe Barraud, the chief economist and strategist at Market Securities Monaco, predicts that President Donald Trump will soar to victory on November 5.

Barraud is also predicting that the Republicans will take back control of Congress in a “clean sweep.”

Following Trump’s victory, Barraud says the markets will come roaring back into life and U.S. growth will rapidly accelerate after the election.

In a post on X, Barraud wrote:

“Looking at different metrics such as betting markets, polls, election modelers’ forecasts, financial markets, as of now, the most probable outcomes are:

“[1] #Trump victory

“[2] #GOP clean sweep.”

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38-year-old Barraud has been ranked the best economic forecaster for the U.S. economy by Bloomberg every year since 2012.

Despite his prediction of economic growth, Barraud warned that if Vice President Kamala Harris gets elected with a split Congress, yields could drop.

The French expert explains that the market has already been priced in a Republican win.

It would correct down, he added.

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Barraud told Business Insider that, if Trump wins with Congress split between parties, his ability to cut taxes for corporations and households could be stalled.

Trump would therefore focus on tariffs, which could hurt global growth, he said.

The most likely outcome, according to Barraud, is a Republican sweep of Congress.

If Trump gains a Republican majority, he could implement tax cuts for corporations and households and focus more on his domestic agenda rather than foreign policy.

In the short term, it would create a GDP boost in 2025 between 2.1% and 2.3%, he said.

Barraud said that Trump will need to find a way to pay for it if he cuts taxes, otherwise it could increase the deficit.

The 10-year Treasury Bond yield would initially jump to 4.5%, up from about 4.23%, under Trump.

From there, he believes it will tick up to about 5% if there is a Republican sweep.

READ MORE – Clinton Strategist James Carville Calls for Armed Uprising If Harris Loses

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